Recent content by Catspoke

The "demonstrations of military superiority" assumptions are more likely to be right if the Germans don't actually DOW anybody, Austria invades Serbia, Russia mobilizes, Germany mobilizes, France mobilized, Britain mobilizes their navy. Germany doesn't declare war on Russia until the Russians...

Germany and Russia have a not in dispute 1815 Congress of Vienna boundary, no reason they couldn't just be Allies. Both don't want more Poles in their empire. If Germany just guaranteed Austrias post 1866 boundaries, Austria wouldn't have much choice but to be the odd 3rd wheel in this German -...

Focus on attacking the French, attack at the Chemin Des Damme's first (instead of in May, rollup the French line east, encircling Verdun) At the same time offer reasonable terms from a position of strength, i.e. signal a willingness to give up colonies, evacuate Belgium, accept naval...

The OP didn't mention the usual east first. So Germany could still do west first but without invading Belgium, if so it might make some sense to move into the Longwy and Briery basin along the French border, both to prevent their being used by France, and to forward protect German ore fields in...

If Germany wins in 1916 1917, Britain does ok, no colonial losses, her dominions pick up gains, Britain probably keeps southern Iraq to protect oil. All of Europe spared expense and destruction of a year and a half of war, and Soviet revolution is avoided, maybe influenza outbreak avoided, great...

I think Britain/France would insist upon evacuation of France/Belgium and Alsace-Lorraine first, then do a cease fire/negotiations. At that point it may be hard to convince Allied soldiers to go over the top for the sake of what happens in Poland or Serbia once a cease fire has been in place...

Which is why peace won't happen, peace can happen only if both sides think they are weak. Really about 10 days in October when the Soviets think they are that weak, but those 10 days the Germans think they have won. Once the Soviet counterattack starts the USA is in, no reason for the Soviets to...

The Generals wanted to do Typhoon, both first and second phases, and wanted to do a lot of the OTL divergence to the secondary objectives, don't see a whole lot changing there. A Goering might offer terms, easier for him politically since he didn't start it. (I don't see the Soviets accepting...

A German French final peace by early August 40, works great with a strategy of de escalation by Germany, working to just reverse Versailles and re establish Germany as the predominant power. It preempts French equatorial Africa going over to the Free French, and would allow the French to resist...

So let's say there is a treaty late 40, final treaty, a real easy treaty to get France out and stay out, something like Alsace Lorraine is under German occupation indefinitely, but French civil administration continues. Longwy and Briery under German occupation for 15 years. Some reasonable...

There isn't much reason for Britain and France to seek an armistice independent from the USA, a blockade could still be enforced, to mitigate or even up terms. If such a situation presented itself, USA would block any German attempt to establish colonies in the Pacific, Africa, either getting...

A nice read, lots of work on your part, Thanks, definitely a German victory to sink a BC and damage a BC. Might have some Dogger Bank impacts. Probably as good a victory as possible in that situation. Only debatable part is maybe the operability of Dresden to go another 6 months, even with 3...

Its really hard with politicians, or political groups for one side to give up if your Germany, and a couple million are dead, countless treasure spent, that your going to be able to sell a compromise peace is hard. So its almost that the government responsible has to be overthrown then the next...

Agree, extra shipping, plus arms could produce earlier results in North Africa for the Allies (which could be an Axis advantage). OR... With the fall of Leningrad, the Germans send the Ladoga Seibel ferry force to supply North Africa, along with the Tiger Tanks sent to the Leningrad front OTL...

The Caucasus were being supplied by across Iran/Lend Lease, I bet the Soviet reduce Mars in the Center (and their OTL counter attacks around Leningrad), maybe Uranus is delayed a week or two. But I bet the Soviets would still be able to launch a strong counter attack still, but more Axis...