As the 2023 Confederations Cup kicks off tomorrow night in Manchester with a match between Great Britain and Australia, it also means we are less than a year from the kickoff of the 2024 FIFA World Cup, as Britain hosts the event for a record third time and seeks a fourth World Cup title at the same time that Mexico looks to defend its own silverware from 2020 with what would be an historic, record-extending sixth championship. So far, though, only Great Britain have qualified as hosts - and as the Confederations Cup starts up this week, so do qualifying matches restart tonight for the big show next year in a variety of confederations. What are some things to watch over the home stretch of these last five months as the odyssey of qualification draws to a close?
UEFA
France is in position to qualify with a win over Hungary this weekend, and would thus be the second team to make it to Britain with a mere three points; even with a draw or loss, it is statistically impossible for either France or Hungary not to advance to either the World Cup or the playoff. The rest of the picture is more muddled. Norway continues to top her group and could qualify for only the second time in her history, but faces a tricky game against Italy and a potential revenge game against Austria in qualifying's toughest group. Sweden has looked more pedestrian than usual and faces a genuine challenge from a good Croatia side nipping at her heels; how an aging Marcus Berg handles what is surely his last qualifying campaign will tell volumes. Rounding out major European sides, Netherlands, still riding high off their European championship, are in Britain for the Confederations Cup, but runners-up Spain look ready to take three points off Ireland tonight to set themselves up for qualification in the next match at the end of the month against Switzerland.
The biggest disappointment remains Germany, which sits mired at second in its group and needs at least a draw this weekend against Portugal to feel good about a light home stretch that features sides such as Malta and a mediocre Greece. After poor performances in both the 2020 World Cup and 2022 Euros, Germany needs to right the ship - now.
CONAFA
The Hex continues with a tight three-way clash at the top between USA, Texas and surprise performer CSA, and the latter two could take advantage of the spotlight as USA and Mexico have makeup games later this year to account for their time in Britain for the Confederations Cup. Andrew Luck and USA need a good performance in Britain to feel good about putting away the stubborn CSA in particular, which shocked on home soil in Chicago earlier this year, and behind ageless veteran Chris Paul and dazzling newcomer Collin Sexton has put the whole of CONAFA on notice. Mexico, meanwhile, languishing in fourth, will hope to leverage a recent run of superior results in friendlies into a confidence boost at Confederations Cup and press on into the meat of qualifying.
AFC
Unlikely for much drama here - Korea is in Britain, and Japan has a chance to punch its ticket with at least four points in the two late June games, and winning solely against Iran gives her the hot hand in the final stretch. On the other side of the qualifiers, Vietnam looks to continue her solid campaign by putting away China on Friday night and taking care of business against declining Kuwait thereafter and creating a much more challenging group for Korea to return to.
CONMEBOL
Brazil's absence in Britain is no problem for hot Argentina and Chile, which face off in Santiago Thursday before the Confederations Cup kicks off. Colombia needs a win at Uruguay on Saturday to feel comfortable about finishing in the top four places for qualifiers, what with Venezuela and Ecuador close behind. Besides Brazil's small but comfortable points bank at the top of the qualification table, this is one of the tightest CONMEBOL groups in recent memory and besides Argentina likely being in (as per usual and as one would expect for a defending World Cup runner-up) the next two automatic qualifiers could go to any of the four teams immediately behind her, realistically.
AFC and OFC
No qualifiers are scheduled for late June for either Confederation.
- 6/21/2023